Every morning I look at various websites, including http://www.electoral-vote.com/, the Gallup Poll and even the right-slanted Real Clear Politics, and day after day there is more bad news for John McCain. It's looking like Obama is going to not only carry all the states that Kerry got in 2004, but a number of formerly "red" states have slipped into blue. McCain is losing traction in his own home state of Arizona, and in Mississippi as well. Republican bigwigs like Colin Powell have jumped ship. Word is that the Republican insiders see the shipwreck coming this Tuesday. And Sarah Palin has "gone rogue," not following directions from the campaign; she's got a fantasy that she's their big hope for recovery in 2012. Tuesday is going to be a monumental asskicking.
Hence, the "Beat Johnny Yen" contest. It's been my belief that if Obama carries Ohio, it'll be all over. I'm sticking to that, and I'm saying that CNN will call the election for Obama by 8:45 Central time on November 4. To particiipate, tell me the network you've chosen and the time, in Central US time. And if you call it closer than I do, there's a prize-- the Barack Obama "bobblehead" that I purchased at Uncle Fun's, the greatest store on the planet.
To participate, send me your guess by either posting here or emailing me at juanyen at yahoo dot com. You can't pick a time/nework combination anyone else has picked. That means you can pick a time someone else has, as long as it's on a different network, and you can pick a network someone has chosen as long as its a different time. It has to be a major media-- CNN, the MSNBC, CBS, etc. You're on your honor about it-- I can't watch all the channels and read all the newspaper websites.
Here are the current entries:
Johnny Yen CNN, 8:45 PM, Nov. 4
Bubs MSNBC, 8:25, Nov. 4
MnMom MSNBC, 1:49 am Wednesday, Nov. 5
Jane CNN, 3:05 pm, Wednesday, Nov. 5
Patrick CNN, 10:36
Have your entry in by midnight, November 3!
19 comments:
I am going with CBS, at 10:00 PM Central.
In 2004, on the eve of the presidential election, electoral vote.com had John Kerry winning the election with over 290 electoral votes. As we all know, it didn't happen. They had him winning Florida, a state he lost by five points.
I would urge all fellow democrats to remain cautious. And don't forget to vote.
Hmm.... CNN 5:36
Hmm.... CNN 5:36
This looks like fun. I'll go with NBC at 8:14 PM.
My bid is $1. Wait, what I meant to say was:
CNN, 8:47 pm, Nov 4.
As in the Price is Right....
I'll take the over....
Still undecided as of 1000 10NOV at which point the hacks in the Supreme Court will step in ...
The Civil War will commence at 1100 11NOV when they Give it to McCain....
The National Socialists (err Republican) party is planning a heist just like 2000 and 04....
How soon you forget.....
MSNBC at 9:01pm (west coast polls just closed)
Or else it will be called on the steps of the Supreme Court at 10pm eastern on December 12th.
I say 10:15 pm central time ABC
9:53PM Tuesday November 4
9.34pm, PBS
MSNBC at 0948 hours, Nov. 4th.
CNN 10:01 P.M. November 4 2008
"Elite" EASTERN Standard Time.
I'll be very pleased if they call it an hour earlier -- or a little later, for that matter. I plan to be in downtown Detroit all night, so damn the torpedoes, full speed ahead!
CNN 9:37 PM, Nov. 4
I wish I could withdraw my bet. I thought about it some more and don't think any network will call anything before 10pm CST for fear of discouraging west coast voters. I think the west coast polls close at 10 CST or so.
11:45 PM Central Time
I am excited, but cautiously optimistic. I don't trust that fairness will prevail in the election process. People's names are being wiped from voter records and then there are the usual shenanigans where they make it really hard for certain districts to vote. I hope that there are plenty of people keeping a close eye on all of this.
MSNBC at 0948 hours, Nov. 4th. or should I say 2148 hours, Military Time. Eastern Standard.
It'll be before 10:00 p.m. for sure.
JR-
I figured you meant that-- my colllege had the classes scheduled in military time (one of the former presidents was an old military guy). Just to make sure, 9:48 Eastern, 8:48 Central.
I agree with you. They called Clinton in '92 way before ten-- we were in the Gingerman celebrating by a little after 10 pm-- and that election was much closer than this one. I think the nervous nellies will feel a little silly the next day. This one's going to be a blowout.
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